trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -13.6% | -21.8% | 33% | 33% | -26.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -13.6% | -21.8% | 33% | 33% | -26.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -13.6% | -21.8% | 33% | 33% | -26.0% |
| all | 22 | -18.3% | -26.1% | 14% | 14% | -31.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.1% | 14% | -31.2% |
| 10% | -33.1% | 14% | -37.8% |
| 15% | -39.6% | 14% | -43.8% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 14% | -49.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $13 | +$9 | +68% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $14 | −$14 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$8 | +82% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$3 | -55% |
| Tether insolvent in 2025? | Oct 26 | $2 | −$1 | -36% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Oct 26 | $3 | $0 | -10% |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | Oct 26 | $6 | $0 | -4% |
| US recession in 2025? | Oct 26 | $137 | −$40 | -29% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Oct 26 | $117 | −$6 | -5% |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025? | Oct 26 | $74 | −$4 | -6% |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | Oct 26 | $3 | −$1 | -17% |
| Netanyahu out by 2025? | Oct 26 | $4 | $0 | -14% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? | Oct 26 | $33 | −$22 | -67% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | Oct 26 | $32 | −$4 | -11% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Oct 26 | $50 | −$15 | -30% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Oct 26 | $107 | −$46 | -43% |
| Fed rate hike in 2025? | Oct 23 | $1 | $0 | -7% |