Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:12:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x045d…64ce
crypto · 1381 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$208 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$209 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$209
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses718 / 660
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1378 / 1381
History coverage73d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 1378 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ 60¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 53¢ 57¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +88%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +85%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +84%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% +$27
sports 23% −$167
other 3% −$52
weather 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -3.8% -13.0% 49% 49% -12.5%
≤30d 498 -4.9% -14.0% 49% 49% -14.3%
≤90d 1378 -2.4% -11.7% 52% 52% -11.6%
all 1378 -2.4% -11.7% 52% 52% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 52% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 51% -20.0%
15% -27.8% 49% -27.8%
20% -34.9% 46% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.25 · official $18.25 (match) · 2862 history records