Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:40:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0484…1b1a
crypto · 89 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$857 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$641 · open −$215
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$960
Realized−$641
Unrealized−$215
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses51 / 114
Whale WR (big bets)21%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)165 / 89
History coverage1d
Avg bet$872
Trades / day3412.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 165 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$641
7 days−$641
14 days−$641
30 days−$641
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $669 $896 +$226 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 47¢ 50¢ $28 $30 +$2 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 55¢ 50¢ $33 $30 −$3 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $217 $4 −$212 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$10 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$36 +55832%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$12 -283%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$46 +82338%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$56 +614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$99 +3626%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$54 +752%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$12 -15200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$51 -161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$66 -405%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$11 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$46 +15560%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$37 +447%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$39 +1822%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$25 +291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$83 +190912%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$63 +80803%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$49 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$79 -144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$30 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$18 -408%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$29 -182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$108 +101264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$35 +447%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$398
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $56 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $27 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $46 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $14 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $47 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $50 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $23 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $49 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $45 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $47 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $42 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $20 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $21 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)+109.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 +131.5% +109.5% 31% 15% -10.6%
≤30d 165 +131.5% +109.5% 31% 15% -10.6%
≤90d 165 +131.5% +109.5% 31% 15% -10.6%
all 165 +131.5% +109.5% 31% 15% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3412.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +109.5% 15% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here +89.4% 15% -19.2%
15% +71.1% 15% -27.0%
20% +54.4% 15% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $960.00 · official $960.00 (match) · 3500 history records