Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0493…58b6
crypto · 237 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$62 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses165 / 72
Open positions0
Markets (closed)237 / 237
History coverage8d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day55.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 237 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$47
14 days−$62
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Ethereum above 1,610 on June 7, 10AM ET? No 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 9AM ET? No 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 3AM ET? No 13¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,530 on June 7, 3AM ET? No 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 8, 2AM ET? No 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 3AM ET? No 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 8, 3AM ET? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 3AM ET? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 4AM ET? No 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$7 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$6 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 233 +8.9% -1.5% 70% 45% -11.0%
≤30d 237 +8.0% -2.3% 70% 45% -11.5%
≤90d 237 +8.0% -2.3% 70% 45% -11.5%
all 237 +8.0% -2.3% 70% 45% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.3% 45% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -11.6% 11% -20.0%
15% -20.2% 4% -27.7%
20% -28.0% 3% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.00 (match) · 480 history records