Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x04b6…94c8
crypto · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,360 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,851 · open −$509
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,113
Realized−$2,851
Unrealized−$509
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses20 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)60 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,699
Trades / day3470.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,851
7 days−$2,851
14 days−$2,851
30 days−$2,851
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1,869 $1,888 +$19 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 87¢ 98¢ $1,333 $1,508 +$175 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 42¢ 64¢ $721 $1,098 +$377 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $713 $720 +$7 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 55¢ 36¢ $1,053 $698 −$355 (-34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 47¢ 50¢ $64 $68 +$3 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $53 $54 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 52¢ 56¢ $45 $48 +$4 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 12¢ 2¢ $175 $22 −$154 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 49¢ 44¢ $10 $8 −$1 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $282 $0 −$282 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $237 $0 −$237 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $657 $0 −$657 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $474 $0 −$474 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $249 $0 −$249 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $393 $0 −$393 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $274 $0 −$274 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,869 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $713 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $282 −$282 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET Jun 12 $197 −$197 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET Jun 12 $237 −$237 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $657 −$657 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET Jun 12 $474 −$474 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $393 −$393 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $274 −$274 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $289 −$289 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $157 −$157 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $344 −$344 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $360 −$360 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2,770 −$187 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4,155 −$414 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2,621 +$431 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2,102 −$134 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2,261 −$131 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3,941 +$890 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1,598 +$117 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2,994 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $728 +$27 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $353 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $429 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $657 −$19 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $415 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $697 −$3 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $584 +$18 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $459 −$26 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $196 −$12 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$4 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,391
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $29 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $67 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $29 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $30 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $53 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $130 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $64 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $68 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-52.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -47.5% -52.5% 33% 10% -13.9%
≤30d 60 -47.5% -52.5% 33% 10% -13.9%
≤90d 60 -47.5% -52.5% 33% 10% -13.9%
all 60 -47.5% -52.5% 33% 10% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3470.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.5% 10% -13.9%
10% -57.1% 7% -22.2%
15% ← realistic here -61.2% 2% -29.7%
20% -65.0% 2% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,112.84 · official $6,118.23 (match) · 3500 history records