trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 33% | 33% | -14.4% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +8.4% | -2.0% | 56% | 33% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 68% | 24% | -7.8% |
| all | 25 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 68% | 24% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.9% | 24% | -7.8% |
| 10% | -12.2% | 24% | -16.6% |
| 15% | -20.7% | 16% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -28.4% | 16% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 92¢ | $512 | $553 | +$41 (+8%) |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $195 | $195 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 40¢ | $154 | $130 | −$24 (-16%) |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 94¢ | $89 | $94 | +$4 (+5%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $21 | $30 | +$9 (+44%) |
| Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 6¢ | $60 | $28 | −$32 (-54%) |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $30 | $20 | −$11 (-35%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $12 | $11 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $75 | −$28 | -37% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $26 | −$4 | -15% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $30 | +$8 | +26% |
| Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $18 | +$18 | +96% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $19 | −$18 | -98% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $15 | $0 | -3% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $99 | −$3 | -2% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $64 | +$39 | +60% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $15 | +$9 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $31 | +$9 | +28% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $31 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $67 | −$65 | -97% |
| Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? | Jun 08 | $93 | +$7 | +8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7? | Jun 04 | $31 | +$69 | +222% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? | Jun 03 | $83 | +$5 | +6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026? | Jun 03 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $47 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28? | May 28 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $80 | +$1 | +1% |
| WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup? | May 24 | $93 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026? | May 23 | $36 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026? | May 22 | $18 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026? | May 21 | $18 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026? | May 21 | $19 | +$1 | +5% |