Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:01:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x04d0…6f8b
crypto · 1485 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$393 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$393 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$393
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses1047 / 763
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1810 / 1485
History coverage89d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1810 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$427
7 days−$354
14 days−$363
30 days−$339
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -132%
Solana Up or Down - March 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-26.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 469 -68.6% -71.6% 25% 11% -30.6%
≤30d 677 -47.1% -52.1% 43% 18% -18.8%
≤90d 1810 -19.2% -26.9% 58% 39% -13.6%
all 1810 -19.2% -26.9% 58% 39% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.9% 39% -13.6%
10% -33.9% 33% -21.9%
15% -40.3% 28% -29.4%
20% -46.1% 17% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 3500 history records