Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x04d8…f690
sports · 196 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$26 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses81 / 114
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)195 / 196
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day77.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 195 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$94
14 days−$94
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 28¢ 24¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-16%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Veronika Erjavec 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Switzerland 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Laura Samson 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse Tamara Korpatsch 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Over 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? No 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Andrea Lazaro Garcia 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Karim Bennani 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? No 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Under 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Over 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonald Ella McDonald 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? No 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$14 +272%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 +$6 +110%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $6 +$6 +101%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $6 +$6 +105%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $13 +$2 +12%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $7 +$4 +51%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $6 −$5 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $6 +$6 +111%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $13 +$3 +22%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$7 +134%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $8 +$6 +74%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $12 −$1 -10%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $6 +$5 +88%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $8 +$7 +90%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $11 −$3 -25%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $3 +$3 +89%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $12 −$4 -29%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $9 +$17 +190%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $16 −$10 -64%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $16 −$8 -51%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $16 −$8 -53%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $9 −$4 -39%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $15 −$8 -50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$3 -34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $6 +$6 +105%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $18 −$14 -76%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$11 +198%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $10 −$7 -65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$108
other 8% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $19 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 26¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 26¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $3 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $3 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 51¢ $3 5h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $3 5h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 31¢ $3 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 31¢ $3 5h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 49¢ $3 5h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 49¢ $3 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $3 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $3 6h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $3 7h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $3 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 68¢ $4 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 35¢ $2 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 68¢ $4 8h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ $3 8h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 18¢ $2 8h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 44¢ $3 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $3 8h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $4 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $4 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $3 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $3 9h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 56¢ $4 10h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 57¢ $4 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 -9.9% -18.4% 42% 42% -19.9%
≤30d 195 -9.9% -18.4% 42% 42% -19.9%
≤90d 195 -9.9% -18.4% 42% 42% -19.9%
all 195 -9.9% -18.4% 42% 42% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 42% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 39% -27.6%
15% -33.4% 39% -34.6%
20% -39.9% 37% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.71 · official $2.35 (match) · 432 history records