trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 25 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 16% | 0% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.4% | 0% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -28.0% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -35.0% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -41.3% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $300 | $300 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 23 | $298 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $277 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11? | Apr 16 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 15 | $283 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Paul Lim win the PDC World Darts Championship? | Dec 22 | $285 | −$142 | -50% |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Dec 21 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ed Flynn win the 2025 Boston mayoral election? | Nov 24 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28? | Oct 26 | $54 | −$27 | -50% |
| Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Sep 28 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Pirates | Sep 28 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 27 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election? | May 11 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Devils vs. Blue Jackets | May 11 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 17 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Ipswich Town wins the Premier League? | Mar 17 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025? | Mar 17 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Everton win on 2024-12-07? | Mar 17 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jan 17 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024? | Oct 12 | $2,311 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024? | Oct 12 | $2,311 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | Oct 12 | $2,311 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Elec | Oct 12 | $2,355 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 12 | $2,410 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Elec | Oct 12 | $2,356 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 12 | $2,411 | −$2 | -0% |