Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x04fb…e909
crypto · 341 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$379 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$370 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$141
Realized+$370
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses203 / 135
Open positions4
Markets (closed)338 / 341
History coverage3d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day1068.3
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 4 History 338 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$423
7 days+$370
14 days+$370
30 days+$370
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Up 99¢ 96¢ $92 $89 −$3 (-3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $23 $28 +$5 (+23%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 4¢ 4¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Up 93¢ 74¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 24¢ 26¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 33¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$69 +77%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$14 +32%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$5 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +17%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$3 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$17 -22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$7 -18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -29%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$12 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $42 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$14 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $262 +$7 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$11 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +101%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $179 −$5 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$3 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $86 −$2 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$61 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$3 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $197 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $185 +$13 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$6 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$3 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $29 $0 -1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$6 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% +$231
other 40% +$145
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $67 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $4 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $0 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $4 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 338 +4.3% -5.6% 60% 30% -7.1%
≤30d 338 +4.3% -5.6% 60% 30% -7.1%
≤90d 338 +4.3% -5.6% 60% 30% -7.1%
all 338 +4.3% -5.6% 60% 30% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1068.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 30% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 17% -16.0%
15% -22.9% 12% -24.1%
20% -30.4% 9% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $140.72 · official $140.72 (match) · 3500 history records