Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:52:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
04 0x04ff…5ff1 crypto 48 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$30 (+10%) realized +$30 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR77%break-even
Win rate79%38W / 10L
Drawdown76%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day51.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +77%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +6.2% -3.9% 79% 77% -6.6%
≤30d 48 +6.2% -3.9% 79% 77% -6.6%
≤90d 48 +6.2% -3.9% 79% 77% -6.6%
all 48 +6.2% -3.9% 79% 77% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 77% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 69% -15.5%
15% -21.5% 40% -23.7%
20% -29.2% 8% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses38 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day51.0
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 48 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$6 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$5 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$2 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $8 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $7 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 86 history records