Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:59:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0503…b938
sports · 112 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$461 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$468 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$210
Realized−$468
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses29 / 80
Est. fees paid−$74
Open positions3
Markets (closed)109 / 112
History coverage40d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days−$49
14 days−$104
30 days−$459
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $200 $197 −$3 (-1%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 24¢ 34¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+40%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 13¢ 16¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky Chicago Sky 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Phoenix Mercury 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Texas Rangers 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Arizona Diamondbacks 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Seattle Storm 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics Athletics 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Texas Rangers 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Washington Mystics 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 36¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries Indiana Fever 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Athletics New York Yankees 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Golden State Valkyries 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $72 +$11 +15%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $18 −$11 -60%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $81 −$20 -24%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $15 +$6 +39%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $325 +$47 +14%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $7 −$7 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $10 +$14 +136%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $5 +$20 +388%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $122 +$29 +24%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 09 $1 $0 +23%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $2 +$2 +97%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 08 $1 $0 +42%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 08 $5 −$4 -98%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $15 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $5 +$4 +87%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $17 +$2 +13%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $132 −$75 -57%
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky Jun 06 $4 $0 -6%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $1 +$2 +213%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $7 −$1 -8%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $1 +$5 +450%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 05 $6 −$6 -98%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Jun 04 $11 +$3 +23%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $122 −$27 -22%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings Jun 02 $1 −$1 -97%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $1 −$1 -97%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $30 −$2 -6%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries May 29 $21 −$3 -12%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers May 29 $1 −$1 -97%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings May 29 $15 −$5 -33%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$467
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 13¢ $5 19m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 24¢ $5 27m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Seattle Storm 34¢ $16 44m
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics SELL Toronto Tempo 64¢ $19 1h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 21¢ $10 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 9¢ $1 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 42¢ $20 2h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics SELL Toronto Tempo 57¢ $63 2h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 45¢ $51 14h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 0¢ $1 23h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 1¢ $1 23h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 17¢ $10 24h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 24¢ $0 24h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire SELL PortlandFire 32¢ $7 24h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 24¢ $5 24h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 34¢ $20 26h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever SELL Chicago Sky 38¢ $14 26h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Chicago Sky 27¢ $10 26h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream SELL New York Liberty 56¢ $13 26h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever SELL Chicago Sky 31¢ $7 26h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 42¢ $10 27h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream SELL New York Liberty 55¢ $68 27h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Chicago Sky 21¢ $5 34h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 40¢ $51 34h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 24¢ $5 47h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $204 47h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 18¢ $5 47h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 80¢ $10 47h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 39¢ $5 47h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 52¢ $98 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-28.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +32.6% +20.0% 52% 44% -21.3%
≤30d 101 -18.3% -26.1% 27% 25% -51.4%
≤90d 109 -21.0% -28.5% 27% 25% -51.1%
all 109 -21.0% -28.5% 27% 25% -51.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.5% 25% -51.1%
10% -35.4% 25% -55.8%
15% -41.6% 21% -60.0%
20% -47.3% 17% -64.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $210.17 · official $210.17 (match) · 290 history records