Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:59:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0508…2e88
sports · 98 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$70 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$63
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses53 / 43
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions2
Markets (closed)96 / 98
History coverage109d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 96 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$21
14 days−$60
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 64¢ 20¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-69%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 27¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Tundra Esports 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A TYLOO 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Luca Castelnuovo 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Xtreme Gaming 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Tundra Esports 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Lloyd Harris 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 63¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Aurora 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A TYLOO 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Trump visit China by April 30? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner Team Spirit 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$8 +152%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 +$12 +114%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 07 $10 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 −$15 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $14 +$12 +84%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $10 +$4 +44%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $11 +$5 +44%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $20 −$10 -51%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $10 +$5 +50%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $10 +$6 +60%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $12 +$5 +42%
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Jun 04 $10 +$7 +70%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $10 −$10 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $11 +$2 +16%
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumich Jun 03 $12 +$3 +26%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 02 $12 +$4 +31%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 02 $20 −$10 -50%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 02 $12 +$3 +26%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 01 $20 −$10 -51%
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Jun 01 $10 −$10 -99%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Singapore Jun 01 $11 +$2 +21%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 01 $10 +$7 +67%
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Jun 01 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $10 +$7 +65%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $10 −$10 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif May 30 $10 +$5 +46%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier May 30 $12 +$5 +44%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qual May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 30 $11 +$2 +19%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 30 $12 +$4 +36%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $13 +$4 +34%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $11 +$3 +31%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $10 +$3 +30%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 27 $11 −$1 -10%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $10 +$5 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$60
world 4% −$1
other 3% −$5
culture 2% +$7
politics 1% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 11h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 47¢ $5 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $5 34h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 81¢ $5 38h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 72¢ $5 38h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 57¢ $5 43h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 56¢ $5 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 60¢ $10 5d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $10 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Astralis 60¢ $5 5d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $10 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Astralis 64¢ $10 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $10 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Aurora 55¢ $10 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 28¢ $4 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 27¢ $1 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Yandex 38¢ $10 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 68¢ $10 7d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 9¢ $1 7d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Aurora 62¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL Liquid 60¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 61¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Lynn Vision 5¢ $1 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY BIG 69¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 61¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY BIG 11¢ $1 8d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Yandex 66¢ $10 8d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY GamerLegion 61¢ $10 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Sharks 55¢ $10 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -15.0% -23.1% 50% 43% -26.3%
≤30d 64 -8.8% -17.4% 59% 56% -14.9%
≤90d 76 -14.2% -22.4% 57% 53% -15.6%
all 96 -12.7% -21.0% 55% 50% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.0% 50% -16.3%
10% -28.6% 43% -24.3%
15% -35.5% 30% -31.6%
20% -41.8% 18% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.70 · official $5.69 (match) · 242 history records