Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0524…1e15
crypto · 987 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$55 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses935 / 52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)987 / 987
History coverage29d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day35.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 987 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days−$21
14 days−$40
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 93¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 98¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 97¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 95¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 69¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 95¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 69¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 96¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 89¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 94¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 95¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 94¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 96¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 97¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 82¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 92¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 85¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 97¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 88¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 87¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 96¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 90¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 92¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 93¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 559 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 987 -0.9% -10.3% 95% 6% -10.2%
≤90d 987 -0.9% -10.3% 95% 6% -10.2%
all 987 -0.9% -10.3% 95% 6% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 6% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 2% -18.8%
15% -26.8% 1% -26.6%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1972 history records