Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:56:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x052e…a23f
crypto · 447 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$504 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$705 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$302
Realized−$705
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses145 / 287
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions20
Markets (closed)432 / 447
History coverage63d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day25.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 20 History 432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$9
30 days−$192
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 79¢ 90¢ $125 $143 +$18 (+14%)
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No 74¢ 89¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+20%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 56¢ 57¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No 64¢ 90¢ $14 $20 +$6 (+41%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? No 8¢ 27¢ $5 $17 +$12 (+238%)
Will Trump nationalize elections? No 78¢ 81¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 85¢ 84¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No 56¢ 96¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+72%)
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes 79¢ 13¢ $35 $6 −$29 (-83%)
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes 26¢ 30¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 71¢ 80¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes 44¢ 46¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? No 8¢ 4¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-51%)
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? No 43¢ 49¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? Yes 15¢ 3¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-80%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-79%)
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 41¢ 12¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-70%)
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their n Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of thei Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 13 $38 −$26 -67%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $351 +$37 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 04 $11 −$1 -9%
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 01 $6 +$4 +70%
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? Jun 01 $5 +$3 +60%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? May 31 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 28 $6 −$5 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 28 $9 +$8 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 28 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 28 $6 −$5 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 28 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 28 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 28 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 28 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 28 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 28 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 28 $17 −$9 -54%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 26 $5 −$4 -85%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 26 $10 −$3 -32%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +81%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 26 $5 −$3 -57%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 26 $10 +$5 +51%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 26 $1 $0 -35%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 26 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$526
politics 13% −$116
other 11% −$5
tech 9% −$26
world 1% −$32
finance 0% +$7
sports 0% $0
economics 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 31h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 33h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 35h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 35h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 35h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 93¢ $301 35h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 19¢ $21 36h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL No 80¢ $12 36h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 64¢ $20 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 10d
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 85¢ $10 11d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 76¢ $50 13d
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? SELL No 20¢ $4 13d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY No 63¢ $10 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -20.5% -28.1% 39% 33% -13.1%
≤30d 192 -9.7% -18.3% 41% 34% -23.5%
≤90d 432 -19.9% -27.5% 34% 27% -24.4%
all 432 -19.9% -27.5% 34% 27% -24.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 27% -24.4%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 20% -31.7%
15% -40.8% 16% -38.3%
20% -46.6% 14% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $302.11 · official $302.11 (match) · 1861 history records