Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:14:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0543…68b0
crypto · 960 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$117 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$118 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$118
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses774 / 185
Open positions1
Markets (closed)959 / 960
History coverage16d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day198.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 959 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$61
14 days−$168
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 76¢ 81¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$8 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$6 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$118
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 466 -1.0% -10.4% 82% 42% -11.6%
≤30d 959 +0.7% -8.9% 81% 38% -11.8%
≤90d 959 +0.7% -8.9% 81% 38% -11.8%
all 959 +0.7% -8.9% 81% 38% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover198.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 38% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 16% -20.2%
15% -25.6% 7% -27.9%
20% -32.9% 3% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.33 · official $5.33 (match) · 3500 history records