Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:33:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0548…b9b4
crypto · 1216 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$543 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$543 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$543
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses699 / 517
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1216 / 1216
History coverage59d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day44.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1216 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$354
14 days−$355
30 days−$429
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$16 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$5 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $31 −$21 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 09 $20 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $25 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $23 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 09 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 09 $19 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 08 $8 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 08 $20 −$15 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 08 $22 −$7 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 08 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 08 $19 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $18 −$8 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 08 $23 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 08 $17 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 08 $20 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$10 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 08 $21 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $18 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 08 $20 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$543
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -18.6% -26.3% 34% 23% -26.1%
≤30d 800 -9.8% -18.4% 55% 52% -19.0%
≤90d 1216 -6.4% -15.4% 57% 45% -17.2%
all 1216 -6.4% -15.4% 57% 45% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 45% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 36% -25.1%
15% -30.9% 27% -32.3%
20% -37.6% 17% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records