trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -29.4% | -36.2% | 50% | 25% | -50.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -12.4% | -20.7% | 67% | 42% | -32.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -12.4% | -20.7% | 67% | 42% | -32.0% |
| all | 12 | -12.4% | -20.7% | 67% | 42% | -32.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.7% | 42% | -32.0% |
| 10% | -28.3% | 17% | -38.5% |
| 15% | -35.2% | 8% | -44.4% |
| 20% | -41.6% | 0% | -49.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? | Yes | 14¢ | 20¢ | $65 | $88 | +$23 (+35%) |
| Will Yordan Alvarez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 19¢ | 52¢ | $30 | $81 | +$51 (+174%) |
| Will Rhyne Howard have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | Yes | 37¢ | 51¢ | $7 | $10 | +$3 (+38%) |
| Will Jordin Canada have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $2 | $1 | −$0 (-12%) |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $73 | $0 | −$73 (-100%) |
| Will Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $59 | $0 | −$59 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Jun 24 | $205 | −$205 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? | Jun 24 | $120 | −$19 | -16% |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? | Jun 24 | $37 | −$21 | -56% |
| Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | Jun 24 | $5 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Mac Deford be the Democratic nominee for SC-01? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will Nancy Lacore be the Democratic nominee for SC-01? | Jun 24 | $7 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Everett Wess be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Jun 17 | $140 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Jun 17 | $70 | +$8 | +11% |
| Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? | Jun 17 | $67 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in | Jun 17 | $27 | +$11 | +41% |
| Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary ele | Jun 16 | $87 | +$24 | +28% |