Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T04:32:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
05 0x0563…f41c sports 56 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$555 (+5%) realized +$555 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +32% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +1% what you keep after slip
Net edge+1%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate75%42W / 14L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown38%max
Avg bet$212per market
Trades / day37.2pace
Fees−$228est.
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$345
7 days+$218
14 days+$218
30 days+$493
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 69% +$409
other 31% +$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -1.0% -10.5% 68% 26% -6.2%
≤30d 56 +31.5% +18.9% 75% 25% -5.6%
≤90d 56 +31.5% +18.9% 75% 25% -5.6%
all 56 +31.5% +18.9% 75% 25% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.9% 25% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here +7.6% 14% -14.7%
15% -2.8% 9% -22.9%
20% -12.4% 9% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +31% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +29% → late +34% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
9.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$21 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.71 per $1 lost it wins $2.71
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$555
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses42 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$228
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage25d
Avg bet$212
Trades / day37.2
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 56 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Jun 18 $558 +$63 +11%
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Jun 18 $11 +$2 +13%
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 17 $201 +$6 +3%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $7 −$1 -14%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $126 +$28 +22%
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 17 $578 +$69 +12%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $490 +$24 +5%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $1,185 +$154 +13%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $265 +$1 +0%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $300 −$1 -0%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $110 +$1 +0%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $402 −$180 -45%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $224 +$9 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $200 +$16 +8%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $322 −$4 -1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $954 +$41 +4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $18 +$1 +7%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $20 +$20 +102%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2,133 +$19 +1%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $86 +$1 +1%
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5 May 29 $328 +$7 +2%
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5 May 28 $3 $0 -2%
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-28? May 28 $112 +$3 +3%
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5 May 28 $54 −$13 -24%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $381 −$70 -18%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 May 27 $651 +$29 +4%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 27 $284 −$4 -2%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $108 +$2 +2%
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque end in a draw? May 27 $188 +$23 +12%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? May 27 $11 +$30 +264%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $50 +$4 +8%
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-26? May 26 $416 +$98 +24%
CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5 May 26 $22 +$1 +4%
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 0.5 May 26 $50 −$4 -8%
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26? May 26 $10 +$1 +15%
Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw? May 25 $50 +$2 +4%
Sporting CP vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5 May 24 $41 +$3 +8%
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5 May 24 $144 +$6 +4%
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $50 $0 +1%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5 May 24 $38 +$1 +3%
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5 May 24 $60 +$2 +3%
Will AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? May 24 $20 +$1 +5%
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $45 $0 -0%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $21 −$1 -5%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $11 $0 -0%
Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 4.5 May 24 $94 +$72 +77%
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? May 24 $25 +$4 +17%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? May 24 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $112 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $100 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $13 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $5 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $33 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $30 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $100 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $100 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $10 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $50 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $3 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $48 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $9 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $2 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? BUY Yes 35¢ $48 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? BUY Yes 35¢ $53 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? BUY Yes 35¢ $102 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $19 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 1h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $17 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 954 history records