Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:40:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0565…14d9
sports · 182 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$22 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Net worth$55
Realized−$80
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses144 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$77
Open positions1
Markets (closed)181 / 182
History coverage236d
Avg bet$208
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 1 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days−$395
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ritsu Dōan: 2+ goals No 99¢ 96¢ $56 $55 −$1 (-3%)
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson Juan Pablo Varillas 92¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Paysandu SC: O/U 4.5 Over 79¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5 Over 77¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5 Over 86¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5 Over 91¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5 Under 90¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Carabobo FC vs. Club Blooming: O/U 2.5 Over 91¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5 Over 72¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5 Over 71¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs Tricked 56¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-06? Yes 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: AFC Ajax 0 - 0 FC Utrecht? No 80¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw? Yes 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Enzo Fernandez: Anytime Goalscorer No 78¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5 Over 75¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $52 +$4 +7%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $48 +$3 +7%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $46 +$2 +4%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $44 +$3 +6%
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao? Jun 14 $43 $0 +1%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $41 +$2 +6%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Jun 14 $39 +$1 +2%
ITF Zagreb: Elina Avanesyan vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson Jun 14 $39 +$1 +2%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 14 $33 +$6 +19%
Ruben Providence: 2+ goals Jun 14 $32 $0 +1%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals Jun 14 $32 $0 +1%
Ahmed Alaa: 2+ goals Jun 13 $32 $0 +1%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $29 +$3 +11%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Pl May 28 $202 −$199 -99%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? May 28 $196 +$6 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $1,327 −$1,132 -85%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 May 28 $1,200 +$128 +11%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5 May 28 $12 −$11 -90%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 May 28 $2 $0 +12%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 May 28 $50 +$3 +5%
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5 May 27 $6 +$1 +20%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 May 27 $200 +$2 +1%
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev May 27 $1,157 +$51 +4%
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs May 27 $155 +$2 +1%
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar May 27 $1,088 +$68 +6%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5 May 27 $1,724 +$118 +7%
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 May 27 $24 +$1 +4%
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Kenya vs Sierra Leone May 26 $1,706 +$20 +1%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro May 26 $1,699 +$6 +0%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $1,659 +$40 +2%
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 May 24 $54 −$2 -4%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5 May 24 $42 +$12 +28%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5 May 24 $39 +$4 +10%
Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $1,246 +$401 +32%
Exact Score: AFC Ajax 0 - 0 FC Utrecht? May 24 $99 −$99 -99%
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5 May 23 $175 +$38 +22%
SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5 May 23 $3 −$3 -99%
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5 May 23 $1 $0 +21%
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5 May 23 $148 +$30 +20%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 VfB Stuttgart? May 23 $145 +$3 +2%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 OL Lyonnes? May 23 $142 +$3 +2%
Celtic FC vs. Dunfermline Athletic FC: O/U 2.5 May 23 $127 +$15 +12%
Celtic FC vs. Dunfermline Athletic FC: O/U 1.5 May 23 $116 +$11 +10%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 23 $116 $0 -0%
Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5 May 22 $100 +$17 +17%
Enzo Fernandez: Anytime Goalscorer May 19 $20 −$20 -99%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5 May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Karolina Pliskova May 19 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$10
other 15% −$49
world 1% −$5
finance 0% −$29
crypto 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ritsu Dōan: 2+ goals BUY No 99¢ $56 28m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 100¢ $2 29m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 65¢ $1 57m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 100¢ $55 58m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 93¢ $52 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 99¢ $52 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 92¢ $48 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $48 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 95¢ $46 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $46 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 94¢ $44 2h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao? SELL No 100¢ $43 2h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao? BUY No 99¢ $43 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan SELL India 100¢ $43 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 94¢ $41 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston SELL Antonia Ruzic 100¢ $40 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 98¢ $39 5h
ITF Zagreb: Elina Avanesyan vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson SELL Elina Avanesyan 100¢ $39 6h
ITF Zagreb: Elina Avanesyan vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson BUY Elina Avanesyan 98¢ $39 6h
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon SELL Ivan Marrero Curbelo 99¢ $39 7h
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon BUY Ivan Marrero Curbelo 83¢ $33 8h
Ruben Providence: 2+ goals BUY No 99¢ $32 19h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals SELL No 100¢ $32 19h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals BUY No 99¢ $32 22h
Ahmed Alaa: 2+ goals SELL No 100¢ $32 22h
Ahmed Alaa: 2+ goals BUY No 99¢ $32 25h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 100¢ $2 25h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 86¢ $2 25h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 100¢ $32 27h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 90¢ $29 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +9.0% -1.4% 100% 27% -4.7%
≤30d 70 -2.3% -11.6% 83% 30% -11.7%
≤90d 175 -4.1% -13.3% 81% 30% -9.9%
all 181 -3.5% -12.7% 80% 30% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 30% -9.7%
10% -21.0% 13% -18.4%
15% -28.7% 7% -26.2%
20% -35.7% 6% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $54.59 · official $54.59 (match) · 379 history records