Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:26:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x056b…303e
sports · 60 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
−$36 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$674 · open −$710
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$790
Realized+$674
Unrealized−$710
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses30 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$267
Open positions5
Markets (closed)55 / 60
History coverage23d
Avg bet$393
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,073
7 days+$392
14 days+$0
30 days+$674
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 70¢ 69¢ $400 $397 −$3 (-1%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 62¢ 60¢ $400 $392 −$8 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 51¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 58¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 24¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 52¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 22¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 42¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $303 +$166 +55%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $303 +$166 +55%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $304 +$205 +68%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $355 −$350 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $203 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $205 −$200 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $254 +$218 +86%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $334 +$266 +79%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $304 +$232 +76%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $102 +$98 +97%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $303 −$303 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $203 +$193 +95%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $203 +$154 +76%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $406 −$155 -38%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $204 +$379 +186%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $117 +$142 +121%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $304 +$267 +88%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $202 +$101 +50%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $304 −$304 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $558 −$558 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $203 +$142 +70%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $152 −$152 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 10 $203 −$203 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $203 −$203 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $204 −$204 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 10 $506 −$506 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $205 −$205 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $760 −$760 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $305 −$266 -87%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $506 +$315 +62%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $755 +$230 +30%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $506 +$327 +65%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $1,006 +$244 +24%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $504 +$171 +34%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,507 +$240 +16%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,906 −$53 -3%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $1,709 +$316 +18%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $501 −$501 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $203 +$181 +89%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 07 $217 +$100 +46%
Thunder vs. Spurs Jun 07 $203 −$203 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Jun 07 $506 −$506 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $875 +$1,577 +180%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $404 −$404 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $10 +$13 +124%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $219 −$194 -89%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $487 +$401 +82%
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery May 24 $299 +$108 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $101 8m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 24¢ $102 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 70¢ $404 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $303 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 58¢ $304 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 51¢ $304 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 52¢ $355 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $203 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 59¢ $304 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $303 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 64¢ $303 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 22¢ $205 26h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 53¢ $254 41h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Philadelphia Phillies 56¢ $304 41h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $304 41h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 51¢ $51 41h
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 99¢ $396 42h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $30 42h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner SELL illwill 100¢ $357 43h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 51¢ $51 44h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $102 44h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S BUY illwill 55¢ $101 44h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 56¢ $203 45h
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $203 45h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Ares 99¢ $583 45h
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 99¢ $259 45h
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 99¢ $571 45h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Ares 34¢ $204 46h
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 44¢ $76 47h
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 44¢ $41 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -3.6% -12.8% 53% 53% -7.7%
≤30d 55 -0.8% -10.2% 55% 55% -6.8%
≤90d 55 -0.8% -10.2% 55% 55% -6.8%
all 55 -0.8% -10.2% 55% 55% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 55% -6.8%
10% -18.8% 51% -15.7%
15% -26.7% 45% -23.8%
20% -33.9% 38% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $789.77 · official $789.83 (match) · 134 history records