Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:04:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x057b…91f6
crypto · 316 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$43 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$207
Realized+$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses296 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)313 / 316
History coverage40d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 3 History 313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$50
14 days+$59
30 days+$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $137 $136 −$0 (-0%)
Game Handicap: the bug (-1.5) vs NA, we'd win (+1.5) the bug 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 100¢ 100¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 24? No 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 3PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 3PM ET? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $148 +$3 +2%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $149 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 8AM ET? Jun 12 $88 +$2 +2%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 8AM ET? Jun 12 $53 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 7AM ET? Jun 12 $57 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 7AM ET? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $57 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $90 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $34 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 12, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $51 +$1 +2%
Son Heungmin: 2+ shots Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Lee Kangin: 1+ shots Jun 12 $34 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 2AM ET? Jun 12 $62 +$2 +3%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $67 +$1 +1%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 11, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 11, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $53 +$1 +2%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 11, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $22 $0 +0%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 163.5 Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ shots Jun 12 $24 $0 +0%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots Jun 12 $114 $0 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 11, 7AM ET? Jun 11 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $27 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 11, 5AM ET? Jun 11 $89 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 11, 4AM ET? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $122 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 11, 2AM ET? Jun 11 $123 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 11, 1AM ET? Jun 11 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 11, 1AM ET? Jun 11 $89 $0 +0%
SC Recife to score first vs. Athletic Club? Jun 11 $53 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,610 on June 11, 12AM ET? Jun 11 $79 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $46 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 202.5 Jun 11 $6 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 200.5 Jun 11 $64 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% +$48
sports 23% +$5
other 18% +$2
politics 1% $0
weather 1% −$13
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $137 22m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 100¢ $21 50m
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 3PM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 3PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 1h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $7 4h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $148 4h
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY Yes 98¢ $149 5h
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $150 6h
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $89 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 8AM ET? BUY Yes 98¢ $88 8h
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 8AM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $53 8h
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 7AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $57 9h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 7AM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $89 9h
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $57 11h
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $90 11h
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 4AM ET? BUY Yes 98¢ $12 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $110 12h
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 3AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $34 13h
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 12, 3AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $19 13h
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 3AM ET? BUY Yes 98¢ $51 13h
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 2AM ET? BUY Yes 97¢ $62 14h
Son Heungmin: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $40 16h
Lee Kangin: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $34 16h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5 BUY Over 99¢ $67 16h
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 11, 11PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $40 17h
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 11PM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $89 17h
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 11PM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $11 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 187 +0.5% -9.0% 100% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 299 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 3% -9.2%
≤90d 313 -0.1% -9.7% 95% 5% -9.2%
all 313 -0.1% -9.7% 95% 5% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 5% -9.2%
10% -18.3% 3% -17.9%
15% -26.2% 1% -25.8%
20% -33.4% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $207.36 · official $207.36 (match) · 695 history records