Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:50:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0592…385c
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$606 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$587 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized+$587
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage36d
Avg bet$767
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 0.5 Over 91¢ 85¢ $30 $28 −$2 (-7%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $277 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 14? Jun 14 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $4,998 +$595 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% +$584
crypto 1% +$2
sports 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $241 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $51 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 6¢ $36 1h
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $30 4h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $36 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $51 5h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $240 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 23h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 25h
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09? SELL Yes 100¢ $5,593 35d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09? BUY Yes 89¢ $4,899 35d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09? BUY Yes 88¢ $100 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +19.4% +8.1% 60% 40% -11.6%
≤30d 5 +19.4% +8.1% 60% 40% -11.6%
≤90d 6 +18.2% +6.9% 67% 50% +0.4%
all 6 +18.2% +6.9% 67% 50% +0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.9% 50% +0.4%
10% -3.3% 33% -9.2%
15% -12.7% 33% -18.0%
20% -21.2% 33% -26.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.01 · official $28.01 (match) · 15 history records