Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0599…3c6a
sports · 1372 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$3,290 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,722 · open −$1,554
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,795
Realized+$4,722
Unrealized−$1,554
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses870 / 497
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$1,389
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1367 / 1372
History coverage86d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day33.6
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 1367 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,143
7 days+$5,916
14 days+$6,139
30 days+$6,302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 59¢ 44¢ $1,596 $1,177 −$419 (-26%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 64¢ 60¢ $630 $596 −$34 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 90¢ 80¢ $23 $20 −$2 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 47¢ $800 $1 −$799 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 25¢ $300 $1 −$299 (-100%)
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Kaufland Hangry Knights 59¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 65¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 54¢ $217 $0 −$217 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 38¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Over 50¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-7.5) Spurs 68¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 58¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 65¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA Challengers 31¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov 62¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 47¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 76¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 77¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 59¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) HANJIN BRION 35¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev Martin Landaluce 28¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner 9z 66¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) Shifters 34¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 54¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 73¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $424 +$184 +44%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $805 +$99 +12%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,824 +$344 +12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1,015 +$944 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2,004 +$148 +7%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,406 +$549 +23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $2,308 +$315 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $989 +$117 +12%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,006 +$228 +23%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $902 +$86 +10%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $966 −$956 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $360 +$640 +178%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $1,178 +$360 +30%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $333 +$149 +45%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $737 +$364 +49%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $772 +$121 +16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $188 +$111 +59%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $214 −$27 -12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $728 +$44 +6%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $642 +$86 +13%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $156 +$53 +34%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $588 +$266 +45%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $72 −$30 -42%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $213 −$210 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $206 −$203 -99%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $99 −$99 -99%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $307 −$6 -2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $112 −$110 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $347 +$73 +21%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $640 +$36 +6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $168 −$87 -52%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $215 −$213 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 +$30 +79%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $590 −$586 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $385 +$206 +53%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $141 −$140 -99%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $664 +$263 +40%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $162 +$47 +29%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $172 +$102 +60%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $338 +$134 +40%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $402 +$88 +22%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $306 +$54 +18%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $388 +$159 +41%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $352 +$103 +29%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $122 +$208 +170%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $400 +$10 +2%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $545 +$205 +38%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $321 +$88 +27%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $607 +$337 +56%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $100 +$11 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$1,888
other 4% +$1,232
crypto 0% +$7
world 0% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $1,616 2m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 97¢ $1,618 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 96¢ $611 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $608 10m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 86¢ $914 16m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 90¢ $904 16m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $13 32m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 69¢ $424 43m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 47¢ $813 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 58¢ $574 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 79¢ $805 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 64¢ $637 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 79¢ $805 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $2,900 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 80¢ $704 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 74¢ $1,512 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $1,959 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 26¢ $268 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $608 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 25¢ $307 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $2,152 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $100 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $1,904 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $1,992 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $1,015 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 80¢ $1,609 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $2,622 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 98¢ $901 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $903 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 70¢ $505 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 154 +5.0% -5.0% 71% 61% -1.3%
≤30d 624 +1.3% -8.4% 66% 58% -3.1%
≤90d 1367 -0.3% -9.8% 64% 57% -6.6%
all 1367 -0.3% -9.8% 64% 57% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 57% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 45% -15.5%
15% -26.3% 34% -23.7%
20% -33.5% 22% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,795.34 · official $1,795.35 (match) · 3500 history records