Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:09:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
05 0x05a7…0d7c crypto 927 markets active 6d ago coverage 17d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (118 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$275 (-7%) realized −$275 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate58%539W / 388L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day117.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$6
14 days−$168
30 days−$335
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$335
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (118 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 +0.6% -8.9% 67% 62% -11.4%
≤30d 927 -15.5% -23.5% 58% 46% -16.7%
≤90d 927 -15.5% -23.5% 58% 46% -16.7%
all 927 -15.5% -23.5% 58% 46% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover117.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.5% 46% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -30.9% 22% -24.7%
15% -37.5% 15% -32.0%
20% -43.7% 10% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$275
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses539 / 388
Open positions0
Markets (closed)927 / 927
History coverage17d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day117.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 927 Trades
no open positions (296 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$11 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$5 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2679 history records