Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05a9…528e
crypto · 115 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$53 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$66 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses85 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)115 / 115
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day111.1
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$66
14 days+$66
30 days+$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +74%
net ROI/market (all)-0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +9.6% -0.9% 74% 74% +1.4%
≤30d 115 +9.6% -0.9% 74% 74% +1.4%
≤90d 115 +9.6% -0.9% 74% 74% +1.4%
all 115 +9.6% -0.9% 74% 74% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.9% 74% +1.4%
10% ← realistic here -10.4% 64% -8.3%
15% -19.0% 51% -17.2%
20% -27.0% 26% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 211 history records