Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:27:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05c5…1d0a
crypto · 222 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,449 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,448 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$127
Realized+$1,448
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses117 / 96
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Open positions9
Markets (closed)213 / 222
History coverage223d
Avg bet$307
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 9 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$332
7 days+$334
14 days+$226
30 days+$226
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 94¢ 94¢ $54 $54 +$0 (+1%)
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 33¢ 95¢ $16 $47 +$30 (+189%)
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? Yes 99¢ 64¢ $17 $11 −$6 (-36%)
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? No 79¢ 62¢ $13 $10 −$3 (-22%)
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes 43¢ 16¢ $6 $2 −$3 (-62%)
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? Yes 34¢ 8¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-78%)
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? Yes 88¢ 19¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-78%)
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? Yes 11¢ 1¢ $6 $1 −$6 (-92%)
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes 36¢ 1¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-97%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $72 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $47 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $132 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $96 −$50 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $73 +$35 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $68 +$28 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $160 +$109 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $93 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $118 +$18 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$14 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$22 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $181 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$19 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$7 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$11 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$33 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$12 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $156 +$30 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $170 +$92 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $96 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$27 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $223 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $179 −$9 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $172 +$101 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $134 +$34 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $143 −$8 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$34 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $868 −$280 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $409 +$29 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $105 +$29 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $177 −$137 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $245 −$20 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $407 −$167 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $621 −$12 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $553 −$329 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $473 −$154 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $564 +$49 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $661 +$134 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$32 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $171 +$53 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $149 +$31 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $141 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$1,479
tech 8% +$8
world 6% +$1,129
other 5% −$241
sports 3% +$1,327
politics 2% +$637
finance 0% +$73
economics 0% +$3
weather 0% +$1
culture 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $16 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $13 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $17 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 +20.0% +8.6% 58% 44% -7.8%
≤30d 113 +19.9% +8.5% 57% 42% -8.7%
≤90d 116 +19.2% +7.8% 55% 41% -9.2%
all 213 +9.1% -1.3% 55% 36% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.3% 36% -7.6%
10% -10.8% 28% -16.4%
15% -19.4% 19% -24.5%
20% -27.3% 15% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $126.70 · official $126.70 (match) · 3500 history records