Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05c6…0937
sports · 535 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$338 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$337 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$337
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses397 / 137
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions1
Markets (closed)534 / 535
History coverage129d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 534 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$45
14 days−$44
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Miami Heretics 72¢ 59¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: ROY Esports vs Oasis Gaming (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Last Chance ROY Esports 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Uwinks vs New Meta (BO3) - LJL Regular Season New Meta 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage Wildcard Gaming 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs Maryville University 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $41 −$20 -49%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $21 +$4 +22%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $17 +$4 +24%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $16 +$1 +7%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $11 +$4 +36%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ Jun 12 $11 −$9 -82%
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North Americ Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $39 −$28 -72%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $35 +$4 +11%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $31 +$4 +15%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $23 +$8 +33%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $49 −$5 -10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $18 +$10 +54%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $16 +$2 +16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$2 +17%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$3 +27%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$1 +13%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $8 $0 +6%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 10 $7 +$1 +9%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $3 $0 +10%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $7 −$3 -52%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $6 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $6 $0 +2%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $31 −$6 -20%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 10 $4 $0 +6%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $11 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$2 +16%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $9 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6 +$3 +43%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 +$1 +31%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu Jun 09 $14 −$10 -67%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $13 +$1 +10%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $12 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 +$3 +26%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $9 $0 +5%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 08 $9 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6 −$5 -86%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $5 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qual Jun 08 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$270
crypto 16% −$55
other 1% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 72¢ $6 9m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $6 13m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 90¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 19¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 51¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 57¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 93¢ $25 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 99¢ $25 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 81¢ $21 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 99¢ $21 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 79¢ $17 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 99¢ $17 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 92¢ $16 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $16 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 72¢ $11 8h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 90¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs SELL Marsborne 99¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Marsborne 95¢ $10 21h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut SELL Los Angeles Thieves 100¢ $10 23h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 93¢ $9 24h
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ SELL Spacestation Gaming 17¢ $2 25h
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ BUY Spacestation Gaming 94¢ $11 26h
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North Americ SELL DarkZero Esports 99¢ $11 26h
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North Americ BUY DarkZero Esports 85¢ $9 26h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $9 26h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 63¢ $6 26h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 39¢ $6 26h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 69¢ $11 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 27¢ $11 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 94¢ $39 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +1.2% -8.4% 80% 40% -14.9%
≤30d 197 +1.7% -8.0% 79% 48% -12.3%
≤90d 429 -1.9% -11.2% 73% 41% -16.7%
all 534 +0.2% -9.3% 74% 44% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 44% -14.6%
10% -18.0% 20% -22.7%
15% -25.9% 10% -30.2%
20% -33.2% 5% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.92 · official $4.92 (match) · 1345 history records