Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:45:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
05 0x05d9…ba37 crypto 1336 markets active 0h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,741 (-6%) realized −$2,741 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate64%859W / 477L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day110.8pace
Fees−$93est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,362
7 days−$2,955
14 days−$1,798
30 days−$1,493
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$1,101
sports 11% −$189
other 3% −$205
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 690 -28.8% -35.6% 49% 45% -16.7%
≤30d 1336 -0.7% -10.1% 64% 56% -12.4%
≤90d 1336 -0.7% -10.1% 64% 56% -12.4%
all 1336 -0.7% -10.1% 64% 56% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover110.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 56% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 44% -20.8%
15% -26.6% 35% -28.5%
20% -33.8% 22% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +32% → late -33% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$29 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,741
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses859 / 477
Est. fees paid−$93
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1336 / 1336
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$36
Trades / day110.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1336 Trades
no open positions (116 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $152 −$148 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$15 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$5 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$5 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$6 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$5 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$5 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $144 −$140 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$5 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$5 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $62 +$36 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$5 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $132 +$85 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $157 −$154 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $107 +$24 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $157 −$154 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$34 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$7 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $157 −$154 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $153 +$66 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $153 −$150 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $152 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $24 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $8 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $144 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $62 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $132 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $31 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $157 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records