Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:10:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05d9…ecd7
sports · 37 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$8,633 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,633 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8,633
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses13 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$727
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage27d
Avg bet$2,142
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,913
7 days−$3,573
14 days−$4,550
30 days+$8,633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No 5¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $5,848 $0 −$5,848 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1,111 $0 −$1,111 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $909 $0 −$909 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No 32¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $4,000 $0 −$4,000 (-100%)
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Panna Udvardy 70¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Rafael Jodar 22¢ 0¢ $976 $0 −$976 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? No 39¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 13 $212 −$22 -10%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $8,389 −$1,404 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $979 +$323 +33%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $109 −$108 -99%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $103 −$100 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $203 −$200 -98%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $288 −$21 -7%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $1,038 −$1,000 -96%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $507 +$377 +74%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $171 +$271 +158%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 11 $514 −$500 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 11 $618 −$34 -6%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $499 −$495 -99%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 10 $786 −$105 -13%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1,012 −$1,000 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $972 +$81 +8%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $951 −$358 -38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $966 −$909 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $1,143 −$1,111 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $1,516 +$1,214 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $459 +$723 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $454 +$327 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 09 $441 +$540 +122%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 09 $473 −$32 -7%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $504 −$30 -6%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 03 $5 −$1 -10%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $999 −$976 -98%
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? May 27 $5,955 −$5,848 -98%
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? May 27 $2,037 −$2,000 -98%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 18 $2,056 −$530 -26%
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics May 17 $10,120 +$6,529 +64%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 17 $4,115 −$4,000 -97%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies May 17 $10,465 −$9,419 -90%
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $5,092 +$7,750 +152%
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 17 $5,091 +$7,716 +152%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $3,063 +$6,817 +223%
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $6,964 +$6,167 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% −$1,381
other 41% +$10,546
crypto 8% +$1,107
tech 4% −$1,639
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? SELL Yes 4¢ $190 2h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $2,639 2h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $7 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $7 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $7 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 6h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $64 6h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1,112 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1,020 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $282 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $662 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -11.9% -20.3% 32% 28% -23.5%
≤30d 37 -3.9% -13.1% 35% 32% +0.4%
≤90d 37 -3.9% -13.1% 35% 32% +0.4%
all 37 -3.9% -13.1% 35% 32% +0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 32% +0.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 32% -9.2%
15% -29.0% 30% -18.0%
20% -35.9% 30% -26.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 111 history records