Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:08:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05db…c718
crypto · 876 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$263 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$263 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$263
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses676 / 200
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)876 / 876
History coverage16d
Avg bet$137
Trades / day164.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 876 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$171
7 days+$313
14 days−$1,566
30 days−$263
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $88 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$95 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $82 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $286 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $89 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $87 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $82 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $286 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $64 +$26 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$27 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $278 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $282 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $84 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$44 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $280 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $87 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $287 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$375
sports 4% +$112
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $176 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $88 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $89 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $98 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $82 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $88 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $89 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $86 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $87 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $82 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $88 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $196 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 352 -2.5% -11.8% 91% 9% -8.9%
≤30d 876 -0.6% -10.0% 77% 6% -9.7%
≤90d 876 -0.6% -10.0% 77% 6% -9.7%
all 876 -0.6% -10.0% 77% 6% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover164.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 6% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 3% -18.4%
15% -26.5% 2% -26.2%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records