Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:51:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x05dd…305c
crypto · 281 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$601 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$579 · open +$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,019
Realized+$579
Unrealized+$22
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses135 / 142
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)277 / 281
History coverage5d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day611.8
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 277 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$264
7 days+$579
14 days+$579
30 days+$579
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 93¢ $974 $996 +$22 (+2%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? No 34¢ 30¢ $12 $11 −$2 (-13%)
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? Yes 26¢ 34¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+32%)
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31? Yes 88¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $113 −$113 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$26 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $73 +$159 +217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$121 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$32 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$98 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$161 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$21 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $82 +$65 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $80 +$137 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $80 −$67 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $134 −$134 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$17 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$69 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $138 +$113 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$70 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$22 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$65 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $90 +$73 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $64 +$44 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$61 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$60 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$543
sports 7% +$4
world 5% +$24
other 1% −$1
tech 1% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $17 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $19 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $19 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $19 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $20 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $20 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $7 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $13 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $17 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 40% -6.7%
≤30d 277 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 40% -6.7%
≤90d 277 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 40% -6.7%
all 277 -0.7% -10.2% 49% 40% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover611.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 40% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 39% -15.6%
15% -26.6% 38% -23.7%
20% -33.8% 35% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,019.04 · official $1,019.04 (match) · 3500 history records