trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -94.9% | -95.4% | 0% | 0% | -91.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -9.8% | -18.4% | 36% | 36% | -13.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -9.8% | -18.4% | 36% | 36% | -13.8% |
| all | 14 | -9.8% | -18.4% | 36% | 36% | -13.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.4% | 36% | -13.8% |
| 10% | -26.2% | 36% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -33.4% | 36% | -29.6% |
| 20% | -39.9% | 36% | -36.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-50%) |
| World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? | Yes | 6¢ | 1¢ | $16 | $3 | −$13 (-81%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $81 | −$79 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $789 | −$709 | -90% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $299 | +$517 | +173% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $192 | +$158 | +83% |
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | Jun 09 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $141 | −$137 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $69 | +$137 | +197% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $54 | +$89 | +165% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $20 | +$27 | +132% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most Player of the Match awards | May 30 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |