Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:43:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
05 0x05f5…50bb crypto 114 markets active 5d ago coverage 21d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$10 (+1%) realized +$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -32% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate24%27W / 87L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day13.9pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$3
14 days−$8
30 days−$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$77
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-38.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +5.2% -4.8% 30% 20% -14.8%
≤30d 114 -32.0% -38.5% 24% 13% -23.4%
≤90d 114 -32.0% -38.5% 24% 13% -23.4%
all 114 -32.0% -38.5% 24% 13% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.5% 13% -23.4%
10% -44.4% 11% -30.8%
15% -49.7% 10% -37.5%
20% -54.7% 9% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 31% · top 2 47% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -32% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -54% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$3 · ×2.15 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses27 / 87
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage21d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 114 Trades
no open positions (78 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$23 +1072%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$14 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$4 +392%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 303 history records