trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -46.1% | -51.2% | 40% | 40% | -64.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -46.1% | -51.2% | 40% | 40% | -64.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -46.1% | -51.2% | 40% | 40% | -64.4% |
| all | 16 | -33.4% | -39.7% | 44% | 44% | -28.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.7% | 44% | -28.0% |
| 10% | -45.5% | 38% | -34.8% |
| 15% | -50.8% | 31% | -41.1% |
| 20% | -55.6% | 12% | -46.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 70¢ | 70¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 75¢ | 76¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 79¢ | 78¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 68¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Jun 15 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy A | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awa | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th | Jun 15 | $10 | +$5 | +49% |
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Ac | Jun 15 | $18 | +$4 | +20% |
| Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? | Feb 16 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes | Feb 16 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at | Feb 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 mil | Feb 16 | $48 | +$14 | +28% |
| Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Jan 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Jan 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Jan 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – | Jan 12 | $9 | +$9 | +95% |
| Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Com | Jan 12 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at | Jan 12 | $10 | +$9 | +92% |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Jan 03 | $30 | +$12 | +41% |