Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:57:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0616…5045
crypto · 834 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,670 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,670 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,670
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses561 / 621
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1182 / 834
History coverage5d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day551.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1182 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,708
7 days−$1,670
14 days−$1,670
30 days−$1,670
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-35.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1182 -28.4% -35.2% 47% 44% -32.3%
≤30d 1182 -28.4% -35.2% 47% 44% -32.3%
≤90d 1182 -28.4% -35.2% 47% 44% -32.3%
all 1182 -28.4% -35.2% 47% 44% -32.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover551.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.2% 44% -32.3%
10% ← realistic here -41.4% 36% -38.8%
15% -47.1% 20% -44.7%
20% -52.3% 7% -50.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records