Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T07:06:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
06 0x061b…edd2 crypto 1653 markets active 1h ago coverage 39d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$21 (+0%) realized +$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate95%1573W / 80L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day46.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$58
14 days−$45
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 266 -3.4% -12.6% 91% 9% -13.3%
≤30d 1016 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 9% -9.8%
≤90d 1653 +0.1% -9.4% 95% 8% -9.6%
all 1653 +0.1% -9.4% 95% 8% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 8% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1573 / 80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1653 / 1653
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day46.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1653 Trades
no open positions (42 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records