Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T23:48:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
06 0x0620…0051 crypto 754 markets active 0h ago coverage 55d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$187 (-2%) realized −$187 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate64%482W / 272L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day38.9pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$527
14 days−$527
30 days−$457
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$154
sports 5% −$161
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 -20.8% -28.3% 59% 23% -17.7%
≤30d 495 -12.8% -21.1% 63% 30% -16.0%
≤90d 754 -4.2% -13.3% 64% 38% -13.3%
all 754 -4.2% -13.3% 64% 38% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 38% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 25% -21.6%
15% -29.2% 17% -29.1%
20% -36.1% 12% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

55d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$187
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses482 / 272
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)754 / 754
History coverage55d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day38.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 754 Trades
no open positions (16 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 25 $40 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 25 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 25 $61 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 25 $20 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 25 $45 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 25 $90 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 25 $96 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $40 +$7 +17%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $5 +$3 +52%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super Dra Jun 25 $5 +$5 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $30 −$25 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $41 +$14 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$4 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 25 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 25 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 25 $86 −$20 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $101 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 25 $26 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 25 $25 −$5 -18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $25 −$15 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 25 $25 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 25 $25 +$8 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 25 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $20 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 14m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 59m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2733 history records