Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0641…b99f
crypto · 173 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$92 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$92 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$92
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses62 / 111
Open positions0
Markets (closed)173 / 173
Avg bet$3
Trades / day24.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 0 History 173 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$70
14 days−$93
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $3 $0 -7%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$4 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -32%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$62
other 35% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-33.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -30.3% -37.0% 34% 28% -28.3%
≤30d 173 -26.6% -33.6% 36% 31% -26.9%
≤90d 173 -26.6% -33.6% 36% 31% -26.9%
all 173 -26.6% -33.6% 36% 31% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.6% 31% -26.9%
10% ← realistic here -39.9% 25% -33.9%
15% -45.7% 19% -40.3%
20% -51.0% 17% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 419 history records