Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T17:28:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
06 0x0642…94ee crypto 788 markets active 1h ago coverage 72d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 71d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$23 (-0%) realized −$23 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%771W / 17L
Drawdown83%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day11.3pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$41
14 days−$44
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% +$70
other 7% −$58
finance 5% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -1.7% -11.1% 97% 0% -11.0%
≤30d 460 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 788 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.4%
all 788 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 1% -9.4%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$19 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

72d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses771 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)788 / 788
History coverage72d ⚠
Avg bet$20
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 788 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27? Jun 27 $7 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? Jun 27 $13 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? Jun 27 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 27 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6PM ET Jun 26 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 26? Jun 26 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? Jun 26 $30 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26? Jun 26 $29 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down on June 26? Jun 26 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? Jun 26 $50 +$2 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $9 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3AM ET Jun 25 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 25 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $4 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3PM ET Jun 24 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 24 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 24 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 24 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $17 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $12 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $13 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$2 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$4 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? BUY No 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27? BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? BUY Yes 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 18h
XRP Up or Down on June 26? BUY Up 97¢ $50 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? BUY Up 96¢ $50 25h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 26? BUY No 98¢ $29 25h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? BUY Yes 97¢ $14 25h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? BUY Yes 97¢ $15 25h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26? BUY No 97¢ $29 25h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records