Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:01:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0646…ad17
sports · 435 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$5,905 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,653 · open −$272
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$6
Realized+$5,653
Unrealized−$272
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses210 / 224
Est. fees paid−$485
Open positions1
Markets (closed)434 / 435
History coverage290d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 434 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$892
7 days+$1,767
14 days+$1,716
30 days+$1,142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka West Indies $279 $6 −$272 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 14 $231 −$231 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $482 −$482 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 13 $180 −$180 -100%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 10 $100 +$174 +174%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $9 +$19 +213%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Glamorgan Jun 07 $73 +$2,467 +3391%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire Jun 06 $75 +$25 +33%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan Jun 06 $19 $0 -0%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Hong Kong, China Jun 05 $124 −$124 -100%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Bahrain vs Singapore Jun 05 $14 +$185 +1285%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Jun 04 $80 +$255 +319%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesex Jun 04 $3 −$3 -97%
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussex Jun 03 $227 −$204 -90%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Jun 02 $40 −$40 -100%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies Jun 02 $20 −$20 -100%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 02 $219 +$51 +23%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Middlesex Jun 02 $230 −$230 -100%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Malaysia vs China Jun 02 $16 −$10 -60%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies Jun 01 $9 +$14 +152%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain Jun 01 $117 −$19 -16%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Singapore Jun 01 $150 −$45 -30%
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Gloucestershire May 31 $17 −$9 -50%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands May 31 $114 +$127 +111%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Yorkshire May 29 $58 −$57 -98%
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshire May 29 $20 −$3 -14%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Warwickshire May 29 $120 +$1 +1%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands May 28 $120 −$117 -98%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 28 $1 $0 -3%
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Essex May 28 $141 +$9 +6%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshire May 28 $19 −$19 -100%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire May 25 $4 −$2 -64%
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussex May 25 $170 +$55 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 9AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 6AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2PM ET May 25 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10AM ET May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2AM ET May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8AM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11AM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ET May 25 $9 −$1 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$5,474
crypto 5% −$93
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $95 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $0 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $67 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $15 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $7 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $7 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies $5 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa $41 12h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa $0 12h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa $0 12h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa $0 12h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa $9 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +347.9% +305.3% 50% 50% +54.1%
≤30d 156 -19.3% -26.9% 23% 18% -7.8%
≤90d 223 +11.0% +0.4% 32% 25% +6.6%
all 434 +27.2% +15.1% 48% 41% +11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +15.1% 41% +11.0%
10% +4.1% 37% +0.4%
15% -5.9% 31% -9.3%
20% -15.2% 26% -18.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.44 · official $6.44 (match) · 3026 history records