Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:00:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x064a…cf6f
crypto · 58 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$17 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized+$27
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses30 / 26
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)56 / 58
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day234.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 36¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$4 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$3 +20%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 +$47 +1519%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $17 −$6 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$12 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +266%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$9
sports 14% +$40
other 5% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +8.7% -1.7% 54% 32% -4.7%
≤30d 56 +8.7% -1.7% 54% 32% -4.7%
≤90d 56 +8.7% -1.7% 54% 32% -4.7%
all 56 +8.7% -1.7% 54% 32% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover234.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.7% 32% -4.7%
10% ← realistic here -11.1% 21% -13.8%
15% -19.7% 14% -22.2%
20% -27.5% 12% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.21 · official $19.21 (match) · 583 history records