trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $175 | +$26 | +15% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $120 | −$18 | -15% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 31 | $27 | −$26 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $308 | +$634 | +206% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 02 | $330 | −$26 | -8% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) | Apr 28 | $669 | +$551 | +82% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 10 | $1,125 | −$10 | -1% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 10 | $2,250 | +$139 | +6% |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 07 | $1,813 | +$5,268 | +291% |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5) | Mar 26 | $210 | −$209 | -100% |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 26 | $190 | −$190 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 50% | 50% | -7.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -33.5% | -39.8% | 33% | 33% | -14.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +25.1% | +13.2% | 45% | 36% | +67.5% |
| all | 11 | +25.1% | +13.2% | 45% | 36% | +67.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +13.2% | 36% | +67.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +2.4% | 27% | +51.4% |
| 15% | -7.5% | 27% | +36.8% |
| 20% | -16.6% | 27% | +23.4% |