Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:35:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0652…9134
other · 153 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
+$6,107 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,798 · open −$4,215
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26,193
Realized+$5,798
Unrealized−$4,215
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses60 / 76
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions17
Markets (closed)136 / 153
History coverage111d
Avg bet$2,866
Trades / day24.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 17 History 136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9,622
7 days+$4,040
14 days+$3,861
30 days+$6,324
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 86¢ 82¢ $4,300 $4,118 −$182 (-4%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 60¢ 55¢ $4,482 $4,082 −$400 (-9%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No 29¢ 22¢ $5,220 $4,050 −$1,170 (-22%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 82¢ 80¢ $3,798 $3,662 −$136 (-4%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? No 67¢ 61¢ $2,984 $2,699 −$285 (-10%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 58¢ 46¢ $2,092 $1,674 −$418 (-20%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? No 40¢ 19¢ $2,317 $1,100 −$1,216 (-52%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? No 52¢ 48¢ $872 $804 −$68 (-8%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? No 43¢ 38¢ $860 $750 −$110 (-13%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? No 44¢ 44¢ $734 $745 +$11 (+1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? No 53¢ 50¢ $751 $698 −$53 (-7%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 No 74¢ 69¢ $663 $614 −$49 (-7%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? No 48¢ 45¢ $646 $608 −$38 (-6%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? No 31¢ 26¢ $310 $255 −$55 (-18%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? No 61¢ 56¢ $188 $175 −$13 (-7%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No 36¢ 28¢ $142 $112 −$30 (-21%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? No 32¢ 30¢ $48 $46 −$3 (-6%)
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5) Derby County FC 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-01? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Palermo FC vs. Mantova 1911 end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-21? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-02-28? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-21? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 12 $9,778 +$1,152 +12%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $579 +$18 +3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $16,275 +$876 +5%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $14,477 +$869 +6%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 12 $1,244 +$242 +20%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $819 +$82 +10%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $108 +$66 +62%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? Jun 12 $231 +$56 +24%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $23,127 +$890 +4%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? Jun 12 $51 +$12 +24%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $254 +$68 +27%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Jun 12 $347 +$127 +36%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? Jun 12 $300 +$91 +30%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $12,145 +$1,082 +9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 11 $2,800 $0 +0%
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? Jun 11 $274 +$23 +8%
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? Jun 11 $507 +$29 +6%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 11 $29,785 +$3,900 +13%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 11 $1,167 +$37 +3%
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? Jun 10 $240 +$15 +6%
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? Jun 09 $258 +$6 +2%
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? Jun 09 $252 +$9 +4%
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? Jun 09 $2,401 +$8 +0%
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Jun 09 $306 +$17 +5%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 08 $3,774 +$230 +6%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $4,676 +$343 +7%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $80 −$80 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by July 31? Jun 08 $483 −$396 -82%
Iran closes its airspace by July 15? Jun 07 $29 −$29 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 07 $6,297 −$5,704 -91%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $4 $0 -0%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Jun 05 $1,420 −$218 -15%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 03 $1,373 +$3 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 02 $5,280 +$120 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $2,250 −$84 -4%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 31 $826 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $120,186 +$2,848 +2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? May 26 $28 −$5 -18%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? May 26 $4,639 +$126 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 22? May 22 $544 −$112 -20%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18? May 18 $514 −$250 -49%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15? May 15 $239 −$61 -26%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 14? May 14 $504 −$84 -17%
Will CD Los Chankas vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw? Mar 08 $32 −$32 -100%
Will AD Tarma vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College end in a draw? Mar 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw? Mar 08 $604 −$604 -100%
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08? Mar 08 $61 −$61 -100%
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-03-08? Mar 08 $676 +$190 +28%
Will Smouha SC win on 2026-03-07? Mar 08 $189 +$111 +59%
Will Levante UD vs. Girona FC end in a draw? Mar 07 $1,585 +$1,162 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 95% +$2,901
other 2% −$7
sports 1% −$502
finance 1% −$591
politics 0% −$218
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 65¢ $177 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 65¢ $9 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? BUY No 43¢ $860 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 65¢ $3 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 65¢ $5 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $930 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 32¢ $27 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 65¢ $1 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $3,370 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 90¢ $5 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 90¢ $5 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 90¢ $1 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 90¢ $11 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 32¢ $0 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL No 33¢ $66 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 32¢ $0 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 32¢ $0 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? BUY No 47¢ $62 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? BUY No 46¢ $46 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 32¢ $20 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? BUY No 47¢ $23 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? BUY No 47¢ $56 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? BUY No 61¢ $30 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 59¢ $1,770 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? BUY No 47¢ $56 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? BUY No 52¢ $16 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL No 77¢ $10 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 33¢ $54 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 33¢ $5 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL No 77¢ $30 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-27.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -1.5% -10.9% 81% 29% -6.8%
≤30d 43 -4.4% -13.5% 70% 21% -7.4%
≤90d 43 -4.4% -13.5% 70% 21% -7.4%
all 136 -19.8% -27.4% 44% 24% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.4% 24% -7.7%
10% -34.4% 19% -16.5%
15% ← realistic here -40.7% 15% -24.6%
20% -46.5% 14% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26,192.72 · official $26,080.34 (match) · 2747 history records