Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T11:03:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
06 0x0657…5704 crypto 28 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$106 (+22%) realized +$106 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate70%19W / 8L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day59.0pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$75
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +12.9% +2.1% 70% 59% +4.7%
≤30d 27 +12.9% +2.1% 70% 59% +4.7%
≤90d 27 +12.9% +2.1% 70% 59% +4.7%
all 27 +12.9% +2.1% 70% 59% +4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.1% 59% +4.7%
10% ← realistic here -7.7% 48% -5.3%
15% -16.6% 37% -14.4%
20% -24.8% 26% -22.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +16% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +13% · $-wt +16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late +15% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$14 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.67 per $1 lost it wins $1.67
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$106
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses19 / 8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)27 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day59.0
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 27 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? No 99¢ 55¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-44%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 6 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 25 $11 +$12 +112%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 25 $14 +$2 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $11 +$2 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $11 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $41 +$27 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 25 $44 +$45 +103%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$51 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $11 +$4 +36%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $19 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 25 $14 +$13 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $63 +$22 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 25 $11 −$10 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $35 +$16 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$5 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$2 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $11 −$10 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 25 $11 +$25 +234%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $36 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 25 $11 +$8 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$5 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $7 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $23 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $16 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $14 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $11 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $12 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $89 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $44 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $44 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $24 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $26 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $36 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $36 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $27 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.56 · official $0.56 (match) · 62 history records