trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -15.6% | -23.6% | 50% | 50% | -48.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 73% | 27% | -16.1% |
| all | 19 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 79% | 16% | -16.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 16% | -16.8% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 16% | -24.8% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 16% | -32.0% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 16% | -38.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $137 | $136 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $160 | −$158 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $117 | +$79 | +67% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 23 | $157 | −$155 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 23 | $42 | +$30 | +70% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 12 | $116 | −$115 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 04 | $249 | +$251 | +101% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Apr 21 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 21 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | Apr 21 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | Apr 21 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Apr 21 | $21 | +$1 | +3% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 10 | $24 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap | Feb 02 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Feb 02 | $19 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January? | Feb 02 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | Feb 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? | Feb 02 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on January 10? | Jan 23 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition | Jan 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |