| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Jan 27 |
$7,760 |
−$109 |
-1% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? |
Jan 27 |
$13,211 |
+$133 |
+1% |
| Grok 4.20 released by April 20? |
Jan 27 |
$1,500 |
−$60 |
-4% |
| Grok 4.20 released by January 31? |
Jan 27 |
$300 |
−$275 |
-92% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? |
Jan 15 |
$4,100 |
−$1,449 |
-35% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? |
Jan 14 |
$330 |
+$180 |
+54% |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? |
Jan 14 |
$1,351 |
+$37 |
+3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10AM ET |
Jan 11 |
$32 |
−$16 |
-50% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by Jan |
Jan 07 |
$3,400 |
−$769 |
-23% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? |
Jan 05 |
$1,000 |
+$4 |
+0% |
| Pacers vs. Heat |
Jan 03 |
$200 |
+$8 |
+4% |
| Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31? |
Jan 03 |
$2,786 |
+$611 |
+22% |
| Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31? |
Jan 03 |
$3,109 |
+$194 |
+6% |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025? |
Jan 03 |
$5,386 |
+$117 |
+2% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17? |
Dec 18 |
$300 |
+$19 |
+6% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18? |
Dec 18 |
$9,652 |
+$193 |
+2% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31? |
Dec 18 |
$23,961 |
+$955 |
+4% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17? |
Dec 18 |
$20,670 |
+$458 |
+2% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16? |
Dec 17 |
$7,668 |
+$1,876 |
+24% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15? |
Dec 16 |
$37,215 |
−$92 |
-0% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13? |
Dec 11 |
$23,201 |
+$3,625 |
+16% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? |
Dec 11 |
$3,568 |
+$1,135 |
+32% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9? |
Dec 10 |
$3,546 |
−$2,995 |
-84% |
| GPT ads by December 31? |
Dec 09 |
$5,340 |
+$289 |
+5% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? |
Dec 05 |
$1,000 |
−$1,000 |
-100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? |
Dec 03 |
$2,000 |
+$16 |
+1% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? |
Nov 19 |
$42,646 |
+$14,329 |
+34% |
| Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025? |
Nov 08 |
$200 |
−$1 |
-0% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? |
Nov 03 |
$650 |
−$157 |
-24% |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025? |
Nov 02 |
$1,000 |
+$10 |
+1% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) |
Nov 02 |
$21,922 |
+$808 |
+4% |
| Rockets vs. Celtics |
Nov 02 |
$100 |
+$12 |
+12% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) |
Nov 01 |
$31,015 |
+$423 |
+1% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? |
Nov 01 |
$45,469 |
−$1,882 |
-4% |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? |
Oct 22 |
$16,358 |
+$23,339 |
+143% |
| OpenAI browser in 2025? |
Oct 21 |
$8,498 |
−$89 |
-1% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15? |
Oct 11 |
$6 |
+$5 |
+81% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9? |
Oct 10 |
$48 |
+$2 |
+5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 202 |
Oct 07 |
$48 |
+$2 |
+4% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5? |
Oct 06 |
$366 |
+$4 |
+1% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? |
Oct 05 |
$1,500 |
−$3 |
-0% |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025? |
Oct 05 |
$539 |
+$3 |
+0% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3? |
Oct 04 |
$100 |
+$1 |
+1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 69°F or higher on October 3? |
Oct 04 |
$488 |
+$5 |
+1% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? |
Oct 04 |
$95 |
−$11 |
-12% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2? |
Oct 03 |
$500 |
+$2 |
+0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 202 |
Oct 03 |
$56 |
+$4 |
+8% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on October 2 |
Oct 02 |
$748 |
+$3 |
+0% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15? |
Oct 02 |
$4,330 |
−$827 |
-19% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30? |
Oct 01 |
$240 |
$0 |
+0% |