Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:41:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
06 0x0690…1499 crypto 70 markets active 2h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$36 (+2%) realized +$36 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate40%28W / 42L
Drawdown78%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day78.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$278
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 +3.1% -6.8% 40% 37% +2.9%
≤30d 70 +3.1% -6.8% 40% 37% +2.9%
≤90d 70 +3.1% -6.8% 40% 37% +2.9%
all 70 +3.1% -6.8% 40% 37% +2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover78.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 37% +2.9%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 37% -6.9%
15% -23.8% 30% -15.9%
20% -31.3% 21% -24.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +14% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late +22% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$35 vs −$17 · ×2.08 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.39 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses28 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)70 / 70
History coverage3d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day78.2
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 70 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $286 +$122 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $67 +$24 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $56 +$60 +106%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $81 −$19 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $91 +$70 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $22 +$166 +745%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $17 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $6 +$24 +423%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $121 +$93 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $11 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 27 $11 +$35 +306%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$97 +461%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $11 +$25 +227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $37 −$28 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $49 +$20 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $17 +$11 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $28 −$26 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $34 −$25 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 27 $34 +$15 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $12 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 27 $14 +$36 +248%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $107 +$68 +64%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $45 −$23 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $39 +$12 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $22 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $23 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $62 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $22 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 264 history records