Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x0691…c0f5
sports · 27 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$89 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$67 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses15 / 12
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage84d
Avg bet$156
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$196
7 days−$10
14 days+$152
30 days+$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Over $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Vitality 63¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 19¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs PARIVISION 50¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Aurora Gaming 41¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs Aurora Gaming 15¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Over $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Sashi Esport $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Over $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Eternal Fire 75¢ $397 $0 −$397 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $15 $0 -3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $29 −$28 -97%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $219 −$214 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $41 +$70 +172%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $40 +$18 +44%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $100 +$41 +41%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $356 +$127 +36%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $303 +$162 +53%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 15 $56 −$55 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 15 $36 +$20 +54%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 14 $50 +$6 +12%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31? Mar 31 $223 +$220 +99%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $400 −$397 -99%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $560 +$65 +12%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoff Mar 31 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs aimclub (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 30 $552 +$13 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Infinite (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 30 $504 +$48 +10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterd Mar 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Mar 28 $39 −$39 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gr Mar 23 $210 +$46 +22%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rott Mar 23 $132 +$77 +59%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Mar 22 $111 +$21 +19%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Grou Mar 22 $99 +$13 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% −$270
other 28% +$337
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 48¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $15 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 BUY Over $10 13h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 BUY Over $4 13h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over $29 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes $5 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $219 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $111 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 36¢ $41 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $10 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 69¢ $40 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $141 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $100 2d
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 100¢ $484 4d
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 73¢ $356 4d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? SELL Yes 99¢ $465 7d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 64¢ $303 7d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A BUY Vitality 63¢ $56 59d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $56 59d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B BUY Aurora Gaming 64¢ $36 59d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B BUY Aurora Gaming 41¢ $20 60d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B BUY Aurora Gaming 89¢ $50 61d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31? SELL Yes 100¢ $443 74d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31? BUY Yes 50¢ $123 74d
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs BUY Eternal Fire 77¢ $300 74d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs SELL Passion UA 100¢ $423 74d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs BUY Passion UA 46¢ $198 74d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs SELL FaZe 39¢ $202 74d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs BUY FaZe 69¢ $162 74d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs BUY FaZe 70¢ $100 74d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -20.8% -28.3% 40% 40% -10.6%
≤30d 11 -14.0% -22.2% 45% 45% +2.7%
≤90d 27 -16.8% -24.7% 56% 48% -8.1%
all 27 -16.8% -24.7% 56% 48% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.7% 48% -8.1%
10% -31.9% 30% -16.9%
15% -38.5% 30% -24.9%
20% -44.5% 19% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 50 history records