trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 100% | 0% | -5.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 100% | 17% | -3.8% |
| all | 22 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 100% | 5% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.5% | 5% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -16.3% | 0% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 0% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 0% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 95¢ | $54 | $55 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | Jun 10 | $53 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $52 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $63 | +$6 | +10% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $52 | +$11 | +20% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | May 06 | $52 | +$1 | +1% |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | May 03 | $51 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Mar 29 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 1? | Mar 15 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1? | Mar 15 | $40 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 27? | Mar 01 | $49 | $0 | +1% |
| Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | Feb 27 | $49 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 26? | Jan 27 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30? | Dec 26 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | Nov 29 | $48 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September? | Oct 29 | $105 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August? | Sep 29 | $104 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July? | Aug 26 | $104 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Jul 25 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 23 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April? | May 30 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | Apr 12 | $101 | +$2 | +2% |
| Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17? | Jan 18 | $100 | $0 | +0% |